Andy Burnham lacks the experience to handle Britainโ€™s security crisis as he inherits a ยฃ4.7 billion defence shortfall, Tobias Ellwood has said. Former defence minister and British Army officer Mr Ellwood told Express.co.uk that the incoming prime minister โ€œhas no international experience, and no defence, foreign policy, or national security background. We have to work with that.โ€

Mr Ellwood warned Mr Burnham must brief the nation on threats: โ€œThe threats are already here: cyberattacks, challenges to undersea cables, and grey-zone warfare that we are completely unprepared for.โ€ The army is at its lowest level since the Napoleonic Wars and modernisation is โ€œon the cheap,โ€ with existing capabilities removed to pay for new ones, Mr Ellwood pointed out.

He added: โ€œWe are having to remove existing capabilities โ€“ from Chinooks to fast jets โ€“ in order to pay for it.โ€

Funding requires hard choices, Mr Ellwood explained: โ€œYou are going to have to spend more money, and that probably means raising taxes. There is no other way of doing it. Absolutely, there is money to be found in the welfare budget.โ€

He noted welfare spending rose from 5-6% of GDP at the end of the Cold War to 13%, against 2.7% on defence. Mr Ellwood stated: โ€œUltimately, you will probably have to increase income tax by 1% or 1.5%, which is about the price of a cup of coffee per person per day.โ€

Mr Ellwood further criticised timelines: โ€œThroughout the current investment plan, the phrase โ€˜we will be ready by 2035 to do X, Y, and Zโ€™ appears 16 times.

“Basically, we have shunted everything to the right. We are preparing to be war-ready after the war has already come and gone.โ€

On Mr Burnhamโ€™s priorities, he said: โ€œIn his big economic platform speech, there was hardly a mention of defence at all. Yet defence, security, and our economy are symbiotically interlinked.โ€

Britain faces extreme vulnerability, Mr Ellwood warned: โ€œWe have 62 undersea cables linking Britain… We are 62 explosions away from Britain being absolutely crippled with no lights, electricity, or water.โ€

Mr Ellwood stressed the need for a national wake-up: โ€œIt may take an acute event โ€“ a seismic attack on Portsmouth, for example โ€“ for the penny to drop.โ€

In Ten Steps to Prevent World War 3, Mr Ellwood calls for moving to a war footing, strengthening democracy and rebuilding capabilities. The book, published in 2026, outlines ten practical steps to halt the slide into conflict.

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