Oil on track for weekly gains as US-Iran strikes push ceasefire to brink


Oil prices fell marginally in early Friday trading but remained on track for weekly gains as the US and Iran strikes pushed the fragile ceasefire to the brink and raised fears of a return to full-scale war.

West Texas Intermediate, the US crude benchmark, lost 4 cents, or 0.06 per cents, to $72.04 on Friday morning. Brent futures, the international benchmark, dropped 6 cents, or 0.08 per cent, to $76.24 a barrel early on Friday.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 09, 2026
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on July 09, 2026 (Getty)

Despite Friday’s slight decline, Brent was on track to post a weekly gain of around 6 per cent while WTI was set to rise about 5 per cent for the week after both contracts dropped more than 20 per cent in June when the ceasefire was agreed.

It comes as the US and Iran continued to trade strikes in exchanges that began on Tuesday, and the Strait of Hormuz saw a “dramatic” drop in the number of ships passing through it.

The US said it hit 90 Iranian military targets, including air defence systems, coastal surveillance assets, and missile and drone storage sites.

Donald Trump gave mixed messaging โ€“ approving back-to-back military strikes and claiming the ceasefire is over while insisting they don’t mean a return to full-scale war โ€“ fuelling uncertainty about what comes next.

The US attacks had killed 14 people and injured 78 across five provinces in two days till Thursday, Iranian state media reported. The Fars news agency said one US strike had hit a rail bridge used for trade with Russia and China.

Huge crowds gather for the burial of Iran's late supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei at the Imam Reza Shrine on July 09, 2026 in Mashhad, Iran
Huge crowds gather for the burial of Iran’s late supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei at the Imam Reza Shrine on July 09, 2026 in Mashhad, Iran (Getty)

Iran said it responded by targeting US assets in Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar. Tehran launched more strikes in Kuwait, Jordan, and Iraq later on Thursday.

The renewed fighting came the day that Iran buried its slain Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, marking the culmination of a week of mass funeral processions and โ€‹rallies. Khamenei was killed on the first day of the war on February โ€‹28.

During the funeral procession, many held placards that read โ€œKill Trumpโ€ and chanted slogans โ€Œdemanding revenge on President Trump for the ayatollahโ€™s killing.

โ€œI swear by the blood of the supreme leader, Trump, we will kill you!โ€ they shouted.

Mourners pose for photos under a banner set up in a main thoroughfare near the Imam Reza Shrine
Mourners pose for photos under a banner set up in a main thoroughfare near the Imam Reza Shrine (Getty)

“Despite the US ramping up attacks on military sites in Iran, the market drew some reassurance from the Trump administrationโ€™s decision to avoid targeting Iranian energy infrastructure,” said Daniel Hynes, โ€‹the senior commodity strategist โ€‹for ANZ bank.

“This โ was aided by comments from President Trump, who said he doesnโ€™t expect a return to a full-scale conflict.”

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