𝓤𝓷𝓲𝓽𝓮𝓭 𝓝𝓮𝔀𝓼

Kemi Badenoch’s Tories are just one point behind Labour in a bombshell new poll. The latest YouGov survey puts Andy Burnham’s party in the lead with 24%, down three points from the week before.

But the Conservatives are up three points to 23% in an apparent bounce after the party’s conference. Nigel Farage’s Reform UK is third with 21%, down one point from the previous week. Meanwhile, the Lib Dems are up one point on 12%, and the Greens are unchanged on 11% after Zack Polanski failed to win a crunch by-election in Sir Keir Starmer’s former seat.

Anthomy Wells, YouGov’s global head of politics, elections and public data, said: “The changes are within the margin of error, so it’s difficult to distinguish signal from noise, but I suspect there is some degree of “conference bounce” there, with the Tories getting a boost from their coverage, and Labour declining again as the temporary impact of their own conference fades.

“It may well be a temporary Tory boost, but for the record it means this is the first time that we have had Reform back in third place since 2024 (it’s technically the first time since July 2024 – but we didn’t poll between the general election and January 2025 while we were reviewing methods, so we don’t know exactly when Reform overtook the Tories).”

Mrs Badenoch used the Conservative conference to announce that she would scrap inheritance tax on family homes if her party wins power.

She also again ruled out a pact with Reform at the next general election in her strongest comments to date.

The Tory leader said: “To those who say ‘unite the right’, we are not uniting with that.”

YouGov polled 2,393 people between October 11 and 12.