Labour ministers terrified at Rachel Reeves’s plan to hike income tax | Politics | News


Rachel Reeves has been warned by Cabinet colleagues not to break Labour’s manifesto commitment as reports emerged she is considering a desperate emergency tax grab. The Chancellor is reportedly eyeing a stunning move to raise income tax in order to find ยฃ30billion to fill her latest fiscal black hole.

The Treasury is said to be considering adding 1p to the basic rate of income tax, which would raise around ยฃ8billion. Such a move would cost a British worker earning ยฃ35,000 over ยฃ220 a year, or ยฃ377 a year for anyone earning over ยฃ50,270. While Labourโ€™s election manifesto provided a cast-iron guarantee not to raise income tax, National Insurance or VAT, a Treasury source said: โ€œThere is a very live debate going on right now among those planning the Budget about how bold we want to be.โ€

Sir Keir Starmerโ€™s spokesman refused to rule out the move, insisting the Government will not comment on speculation around tax ahead of the Budget.

โ€œThe choice at the Budget is clear โ€“ we can go back to the cycle of austerity, debt and decline, or we can continue to invest in Britainโ€™s renewal with an economy that works for working people,” said the spokesman.

โ€œWe will always choose the latter, and as ever itโ€™s for the Chancellor to set out her Budget in Parliament next month.โ€

A minister insisted that Labour โ€œstand by our manifestoโ€, though did not guarantee that the pledge would hold at the Budget.

However, a number of Cabinet ministers voiced fears that breaking the manifesto pledge would be panned by voters at a time Labourโ€™s support is already plummeting.

A minister warned there would have to be a โ€œvery, very high thresholdโ€ for abandoning the pledge.

Ms Reeves was slammed at the last Budget for giving herself just ยฃ10billion in so-called fiscal headroom, the buffer to absorb economic shocks while ensuring the countryโ€™s finances still add up.

It is believed the Chancellor is determined to give herself a much larger amount of headroom at her November Budget, though this will require additional tax rises or spending cuts.

The Treasury source told The Guardian: โ€œNo one wants it to be ยฃ10billion again, but there is an argument we go much higher, which will mean we donโ€™t have to come back and do this again and might have space to cut taxes before the Budget.

โ€œIf we go down that route, however, it makes it more likely that we have to raise income tax โ€“ that is the discussion that is going on at the moment.โ€

Responding to the reports, Paul Dales at Capital Economics warned: โ€œIt takes money away from households, it would lower their real disposable incomes, and leave them with less money to spend.

โ€œThe question is whether there would be an extra drag from any confidence effect, because it would be quite a big deal, it would get a lot of press, you might get households pulling back a little more than the [forecast models] suggest.โ€

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