𝓤𝓷𝓲𝓽𝓮𝓭 𝓝𝓮𝔀𝓼

Let’s take a look at some Champions League numbers from before the first leg.

Benfica and Real Madrid had each scored four Champions League goals from direct attacks this season, more than any other side. For both, the route is clear: play forward early and attack space before the defence can reset.

Madrid are also ruthlessly efficient when they win the ball high. They ranked first for the share of high turnovers that end in a shot, turning 31 per cent of regains (18 of 58) into attempts.

But there is a soft edge, too. In the league-phase match, Mourinho’s first victory over Madrid in six attempts, Benfica had only 33 per cent of possession but took 22 shots and created eight big chances.

History also leans Benfica’s way. They have won three of their five European Cup/Champions League ties against Madrid. For a tie between two transition-heavy teams, the evidence points toward another open night.