Starmer to be wiped out in Scotland according to bombshell new poll | Politics | News


Sir Keir Starmerโ€™s Labour would be all but wiped out in Scotland if a general election were held now, a bombshell new poll has revealed. The survey from Find Out Now puts the SNP comfortably ahead on 30% of the vote, the same as it received last year.

However, due to the first-past-the-post electoral system, the party would rocket from nine seats to 42. Nigel Farageโ€™s Reform UK is now polling comfortably in second place north of the border, on 23%. However, due to the voting system, polling legend Professor Sir John Curtice has warned that Reform could fail to win a single seat. Labour, which won the most seats in Scotland last year for the first time since 2010, is set to collapse in support.

The poll finds that just 15% of Scots now back Labour, more than 20 points down on its showing last year.

As a result, Sir Keirโ€™s party will be largely wiped out, from 37 seats to just six.

The Tories are on 10%, only down two points since last year, but because of the voting system Sir John believes Mrs Badenoch could in fact gain one seat.

The Liberal Democrats are also down very slightly, by less than one point, but could lose half their seats and be left with just three.

While the poll appears to be crushing for Reform, which would suffer one of the most unfair election results in British political history, Sir John’s calculations put Mr Farageโ€™s party just 2-3% behind in some seats.

This means any further rises in support for Reform in Scotland would finally give them seats north of the border.

Find Out Now also polled voters in Scotland ahead of next yearโ€™s Holyrood elections, which many Labour MPs warn are make or break for Sir Keirโ€™s premiership.

The poll also put the SNP in first, and Reform in second, though Labour could tie with the Greens in the regional vote.

If this poll were to be replicated next May, the SNP would gain 57 MSPs, an overall majority, with the Greens in second on 18 and Reform overtaking Labour, the Tories and the Lib Dems with 17 MSPs.

In August, Mr Farage said he wants Reform to be strong enough to remove the SNP from power next year.

It came following the defection of Tory MSP Graham Simpson, Reformโ€™s first MSP.

Mr Farage told reporters that Tory support in Scotland has โ€œfallen to derisory levelsโ€ and the party will soon โ€œcease to be a political forceโ€.

Mr Farage said: โ€œWhat would a powerful position be after the May elections next year?

โ€œ[It] would be to be in a position where we were strong enough to get rid of an SNP Government.

โ€œLetโ€™s see how the scores at the doors work.โ€

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