Heatwaves set to drive prices higher, food producers warn
Soaring temperatures and droughts across the UK and Europe are set to drive prices higher, food and drink producers have warned.
The Food and Drink Federation (FDF) said โfruit, vegetable and grain supplyโ are being hit by recent heatwaves, with these crop shortages then set to feed into supermarket prices.
Economists from the trade group suggested that this will put upward pressure on food inflation going into 2027.
It is understood that the supply of a number of UK-grown fruit and vegetables has already come under pressure, such as broccoli and cherries.
Meanwhile, poor grain harvests are driving the cost of animal feed higher, with predictions that this could lead to more expensive meat as farmers are forced to reduce herd sizes.
It comes ahead of a fresh heatwave in the UK, with the Met Office warning that temperatures will soar to the mid-30s in some areas on Thursday.
Dr Liliana Danila, chief economist at the FDF, said the weather conditions have caused concern across most of Europe.
She said: โCompetition for fewer resources will in turn push up the price of ingredients for manufacturers.
โThe UKโs food and drink manufacturers work hard to absorb costs where they can, but are already grappling with rising costs as a result of war in Ukraine and in Iran, so we expect the additional upward pressure of reduced crops will be reflected in retail prices into next year.โ
FDF Scotlandโs David Thomson also told the BBC that price rises are โinevitableโ because of โsignificant concernsโ over the availability of many fruit and vegetable products.
Meanwhile, the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (ADHB) has said that milk production has already been impacted by the extreme hot weather, with production yields impacted by heat-stressed cows and poor conditions for grass grazing.
Andrew Opie, director of food and sustainability policy at the British Retail Consortium, said: โClimate change continues to create challenges for retailers and their suppliers.
โExtreme weather, including drought, can affect crop yields and place upward pressure on prices.
โRetailers are experienced in managing supply disruptions and will take all necessary steps, including sourcing from alternative suppliers where appropriate, to minimise any impact on customers.โ